[This is Chapter 6 of Murphey's book Out of the Ashes.]
Chapter 6
LESSONS FROM THE INTERVENTIONS
In each of the two periods of global intervention discussed in
Chapters 4 and 5 the United States made the internal affairs of
several other nations "its own business." This
was in line with the post-1898 repudiation of its earlier
"hands-off" policy. In none of the instances
discussed has any major gain been sought for the United States in
relation to its own self-interest. The principal motive in
each case has been to do good for others as the United States has
perceived it. If there was good to be had for the United
States as such, it would come from a world more at peace, orderly
and perhaps democratic. From the perspective of those who
have favored the interventions, the actions have helped establish
the United States' participation within (and often leadership of)
the world community.
To those with a somewhat more jaundiced eye, the "world
community," as we saw in Chapter 2, is not necessarily the
same thing as the world population in general, but is instead a
cosmopolitan elite whose members consider themselves the stewards
of a "world order" (often referred to since the end of
the Cold War as a "New World Order"). And by
creating hatreds, the interventions don't clearly make the world
"more at peace." The benevolent premise behind
them is faulty.
The interventions come with great costs, both practically and in
theory. In this chapter, with the details of the various
interventions in mind, we will be able to analyze those costs:
1.
American foreign interventions have often responded to
sensationalist media accounts. This has led the American
people into a crusading spirit rather than to a wise and
considered understanding of a given situation in depth.
In his A Republic, Not an Empire, Patrick J. Buchanan
tells of the media frenzy over Cuba that led to the
Spanish-American war. When Cuban revolutionaries seeking
independence from Spain adopted a "scorched earth"
strategy, Spanish General Valeriano Weyler "believed the key
to victory was to deny the rebels access to the peasants aiding
their cause." Doing much the same thing as the British
would soon do in their war against the Boers when faced with a
struggle against irregular forces supported by the local
population, Weyler herded the rural civilian population into
camps, where many died of disease. The American press, led by
William Randolph Hearst's New York Journal and Joseph
Pulitzer's New York World, graphically described the camp
scenes and demonized Weyler as "Butcher Weyler," just
as a few years later it would demonize the German Kaiser. The
result was to push a reluctant President McKinley into war.
(His reluctance was rooted in his having experienced the carnage
of the American Civil War.)
The main impetus came when the press immediately blamed Spanish perfidy for the sinking of the American battleship Maine, with 266 men lost, in Havana harbor on February 15, 1898. Hearst's headlines blared that the Spanish were guilty, despite important reasons for caution: Spain had chosen a liberal government that was anxious to settle the conflict in Cuba, so that it was against its interests to provoke war with the United States; with particular regard to the Maine, both the cause of the explosion and the identity of the perpetrators, if any, were unknown; and the new Spanish government offered to help in any investigation. Immediately after the explosion, an editorial in The Nation called for a "Suspension of Judgment." But such counsels of caution hardly slowed the growing hysteria.1 The U.S. Navy later attributed the ship's destruction to a mine but without establishing who laid it. The National Geographic reviewed the issues in detail exactly a century later and found the evidence inconclusive, with a mine, if perfectly placed, as one possibility, but a fire in the coal bunker as another.2 The result of the "national outrage" was that McKinley, under great pressure, gave in to the calls for war.
The impact of the press in 1898 could hardly have been more
pervasive than that of worldwide mass media near the end of the
twentieth century. David Callahan says that "graphic
media images of international suffering are now transmitted
faster and more widely than ever before, and these images often
fuel public demands for action." He cites Biafra,
which produced "the first televised images of famine in
history."3 Similar images
spurred demand for the U.S. intervention into Somalia in 1992:
Walter Clarke relates how "the humanitarian disaster in
Somalia was on all the television screens in the United States by
August 1992."4 American General
Colin Powell wrote in his memoirs that the mission was decided
upon after Somalia "wrenched our hearts." Reflecting
on the shallowness of understanding with which the intervention
was launched, Brune opines that "perhaps like the American
public, Bush, Powell, and Secretary of Defense Richard Cheney
simply judged Somalia by the television pictures reaching their
homes. These instant photographs depicted the horrendous
suffering of starving women and children but never captured the
savage reality of the young gangs."5
The private Commission on America's National Interests agreed that media fixations, as guides to the United States' foreign interventions, have been a major problem: "Media attention to foreign affairs," its Report says, "tends to fixate on issues according to the vividness of a threat, without pausing to ask whether the U.S. interest threatened is really important. Thus second- and third-order issues like Bosnia or Haiti have become a consuming focus of U.S. foreign policy to the neglect of issues of higher priority, like China's international role or the unprecedented risks of nuclear proliferation."6
Consistently with this, the media provided the provocation for
action in Bosnia and Kosovo. Graphic atrocity reports about
war crimes committed mainly by Serbs "outraged world opinion
and inspired a U.S. congressional debate" in August 1992,
Brune says.7 In Kosovo,
according to Malcolm, after Serb forces took men away from their
families, "the U.S. government [reported] that it had
satellite images of many newly dug mass graves."8
These reports received extended media attention at the time and
were the principal provocation for the U.S. air war against
Serbia, overriding Serbian protestations that the reports were
false and were concocted by the Kosovo Liberation Army precisely
to cause NATO intervention.
It was a serious embarrassment that, as in the aftermath of World War I, the atrocity reports didn't prove true when subjected to post-war investigation. In an article entitled "Where are the bodies... Few mass graves' found thus far in Kosovo," the WorldNetDaily in late 1999 told of an independent intelligence report by a U.S.-based firm (the "Stratfor report"). The report said the International Criminal Tribunal to try war crimes cases had found no bodies in the Trepca mines in Kosovo despite earlier reports that the corpses of 700 murdered ethnic Albanians were hidden there. "Official estimates indicated that some 10,000 ethnic Albanians were killed in a Serb rampage of ethnic cleansing. Yet four months into an international investigation bodies numbering only in the hundreds have been exhumed," with the FBI [which participated in the search] having found "fewer than 200."9
There is a real problem about basing interventions on media
images and atrocity reports. Public opinion is always ready
to judge quickly, and is smugly intolerant toward suspension of
judgment, considering anybody who wants to wait for the evidence
morally obtuse; but a moment's thought should tell us that in any
such situation there are genuine questions about the credibility
of what is reported, what implications to draw from the bare
factual details, and, even more broadly, whether the whole
story is being told. Righteous and wrathful fingers are
pointed toward putative wrongdoers, whose denials get no hearing,
whereas in fact it isn't objectively established who has done
what to whom. This is a defect that is in itself a nearly
conclusive argument against a policy of intervention, since there
is no correction for it consistently with intervention. The
"due process" of objective investigation takes time,
during which the fervor for intervention will wane. It is usually
a choice between intervening on the basis of snap judgments based
on presuppositions or not intervening at all.
Consider, too, that snapshots of terrible events give no depth of
understanding. Even if correct, they are purely
superficial, lacking reference to history or complexity. For
serious policy-makers to decide on military intervention on such
a basis is ludicrous, since the very idea that they are
"serious" presupposes that they will keep much broader
and longer-term considerations in mind. They would do well
to consider that enormities are committed episodically by
virtually all peoples in extreme situations, and that more than
knowledge of the "commission of outrages" is necessary
for a complete understanding.
It would be far better if they would keep the broader things in
view, and simply accept the snapshot provocations as no more than
the needed pretext for action. But this is
"better" only in a certain dimension. Its
implications for a democracy are horrendous, since the use of
pretexts would mean that the public, de jure the sovereign
power, is being manipulated and becomes a puppet on strings.
Still more broadly, there is the question of how such decisions
are ever to be made consistently with democracy. It is safe
to say that the vast electorate will never be informed in depth
about the foreign situation, and hence will never be a
justifiable source for cries for action. A small,
specialized elite within the bureaucracy may have the requisite
depth of information and wisdom about what should be done in a
given foreign situation (but experience shows that that is rare).
Even if it does, we must ask whether in a society with democratic
pretensions the decision of such specialists can be considered a
supportable surrogate for informed public opinion? We find
ourselves faced with an insoluble dilemma.
A "republic" in the old sense where the wise have been
filtered to the top to create an aristocracy of wisdom and talent
to lead the nation might be a way to avoid the dilemma. Modern
specialists are, however, hardly a substitute for that. (And
we should notice that the old sort of republican aristocracy,
when it existed, was precisely the source that considered a
"hands-off" policy wise.)
Nor are the members of the elite of the Davos Culture, and the
social scientists who study every problem and implicitly take it
for granted as a matter of professional faith that there should
be a rationalistic solution to it from on high. These
latter groups, symbiotically linked, may have a theoretical,
though disputable, claim to leadership, but if the interventions
they have favored are judged by their fruits the result is to
demolish any possible consensus about their wisdom.
2.
The interventions have most often been exercises in futility,
either because the problems have been so immersed in cultural and
historical complexity as to be insoluble or because the problems,
even if soluble in a given instance, have been replicated in so
many places across the world that any dabbling in them is
necessarily a mere tokenism.
The first type of "bottomless pit" where the
problems are not soluble at all, except perhaps by a long
accretion of civilization and of exhaustion with war among the
people directly involved may well describe all of the
nations we have discussed, at least in varying degrees.
No amount
of outside intervention and assistance, lasting sometimes for
several years, seems to help in Haiti. Opinion in the
United States and within the world community has a strong animus
against rule by a wealthy elite, but it may be that this makes an
ideological absolute out of something that simply cannot fit the
Haitian case. Here's a shocking possibility: Haiti may be
just the opposite of what we think it is. There is a
possibility that the elite in Haiti have long been more the lone
beacon of civilization within an otherwise Stone Age culture than
it has been the cause of the cultural depravity among the main
mass of the population. This is the reverse of the usual
Marxist or neo-Marxist view of social causation, which is that
someone's plight must be due to exploitation or oppression.
If my suggestion (which I put forward as possible but don't
necessarily assert) is correct, there is an even more startling
insight to consider: that the elite's use of brutality as a
long-standing part of Haitian history to protect its status
should be seen in a more understanding light. It may have
been the necessary precondition to any civilization at all.
To democrats and devotees of individual liberty, which most of us
are, this would no doubt be a thoroughly unsatisfactory
situation. But nearly a century of periodic American
intervention into Haiti hasn't established that there is any
viable alternative to rule by an elite. Brutal class hatred
exists, voodoo is widely practiced, only 35 percent of the people
can read and write, unemployment in mid-2000 was at 70 percent,
and drug trafficking is one of the principal sources of wealth.
If the description "bottomless pit" applies to Haiti, it applies with almost equal force to virtually all of sub-Saharan Africa. A year-end news summary in late 2000 reported that "war still tears at Congo, where repeated truce agreements and promises of U.N. help show little hope of ending a fight dubbed Africa's First World War.' There are also few signs of long-term peace in Sierra Leone, Burundi, Angola or Sudan, all devastated by long-running civil wars."10 About Burundi, Michael Ignatieff says in his book on ethnic warfare that it "is one of those small, forgettable places that earn the international community's attention because of their propensity for self-destruction... A Tutsi minority, long in power, and in control of the army, has been forced by the arrival of multiparty democracy to share power with the Hutu majority. A Hutu finally came to power as president in 1993, only to be assassinated. In the succession of massacres that followed, a hundred thousand people, Hutu and Tutsi alike, are thought to have died." Then "in April 1994... the plane carrying the presidents of Rwanda and Burundi was shot down over Kigali airport." Boutros-Ghali, at that time the secretary-general of the United Nations, summed up the situation when he referred to "societies that seem incapable of saving themselves."11
Time magazine reports these statistics about the AIDS
epidemic in Africa that began some twenty years ago: 17 million
dead; 12 million orphans; an estimated 8.8% of adults infected.
In several countries it is worse: in Botswana, Lesotho, Namibia,
South Africa, Swaziland, Zambia and Zimbabwe at least 20 percent
of adults are infected. [So evident a bottomless pit
doesn't prevent the writer of the report from calling upon the
West to "help with its zeal and its cash."]12
In Cuba, it may be that once the Communist dictatorship is thrown
off the country will blossom. But, if so, that will be a
first in its history, and will almost certainly have to come from
the quality of the people themselves (including those who
repatriate from the United States after several decades as
exiles) rather than from the United State's imposing a system on
them.
In Somalia, the situation is one where, regardless of the most
recent troubles, there are large portions of the country
"where every year people are killed and mauled by wild
animals, where the village canoe is overturned into the
crocodile-filled river by surfacing hippos, where bandits attack
villages, shooting and looting before disappearing into the bush,
where deaths from malaria, tuberculosis, fevers, and accidents
claim far more lives than does old age."13
Even before the intraclan warfare of the 1990s, Mogadishu was a
"hardship post" for any Westerner sent there:
"Streets were unsigned and driving was a free-for-all.
Municipal electricity was erratic and unpredictable, telephone
service ineffectual, and local news unavailable."14 The picture Anna Simons paints of the larger
culture isn't encouraging: "The universal belief among
expatriates [was] that Somalis lacked the ability to maintain
anything roads, equipment, offices, projects, or,
essentially, themselves."15 Corruption, a
lack of civic motivation and of any coherent national feeling,
pastoralist ideology, an eagerness to rely on the help of
outsiders, and a low level of competence all combine to deny a
solid basis for a successful culture. This isn't to say
that Somalia will never emerge from its morass; but again, as
with Haiti and Cuba, it is an interventionist's aspiration for
the future more than anything that is borne out by Somalia's
history or overall level of civilization.
In the former Yugoslavia, including Bosnia and Kosovo, a high
level of civilization is not itself lacking, so the situation is
not so obviously beyond redemption. Who can say, however,
what the solution is to centuries-long enmities? An
outsider tends to go in where hatreds exist and say
patronizingly, although in the best of faith, that the emotions
are infantile and unproductive, and that the solution must be for
everyone to "get over it." In Europe at the end
of the Religious Wars such a process of pacification and
increasing tolerance did occur; and that episode, if its secrets
were unlocked, might offer the world invaluable instruction.
But what justification is there, really, for a spirit of peace
within the heart of any person whose parents and siblings have
been shot, raped or hacked to pieces? What justification
for peace can be found within the hearts of those who perpetrated
those acts when they, too, have previously (or simultaneously)
experienced those same horrors? No wonder the prediction is
made that a peacekeeping force will have to stay on indefinitely.
Serbia, Croatia, Bosnia, and Kosovo will long remain like the
ground of a forest on which the embers of a raging fire still
smolder. And this is not only because of
mutually-experienced outrages. It is also because the
respective peoples continue to harbor conflicting dreams about
their own identities and hoped-for destinies.
There is,
as I have said, a second meaning for world problems' being a
"bottomless pit." This applies even if a given
problem actually does have a viable solution. It arises
because the problems are so numerous that there is no possibility
of addressing more than a fraction of them. Robert Rotberg
wrote in 1997 that "we live in a world where civil wars in
far-off places are the norm where thirty wars erupt
annually, where there are twenty complex humanitarian crises
every year, where 50 million persons are now displaced (ten
years ago only 5 million were so displaced), and where millions
of people were killed during 1991-1995 in one corner of Africa
alone"16 [emphasis added].
The argument has some plausibility that "it is better to do
something helpful to people in a few situations than to do
nothing on the pretext that there are others whom we will have to
ignore." That is, part of a loaf is better than none.
But the United States' selection, if on meliorist grounds, will
largely be determined by media focus. And the selection
will inevitably stimulate anti-American criticisms that the
United States is "racist" because "it cares about
certain ones who were helped but not about others." Precisely
that sort of criticism was voiced in international circles when
the United States intervened in Bosnia and Kosovo but not in
Rwanda. Brune tells how "[U.N. Secretary General]
Boutros-Ghali contended Western powers wanted aid for European
states such as Yugoslavia but ignored humanitarian needs of
African nations such as Liberia, Somalia, and Rwanda where civil
strife had caused refugees, starvation, and disease. The
Western powers helped Christian nations, he said, but overlooked
problems of other religious groups in allocating UN
resources."17 President
Clinton accepted the validity of this criticism when he
apologized for the United States' not intervening between the
Hutus and Tutsis in Rwanda.
This acceptance reflects conceptual confusion, however, since its
premise is that the United States is morally obligated to
intervene in each of the countless humanitarian crises. During
the second presidential debate between George W. Bush and Albert
Gore in October 2000, Bush responded to a question by saying the
United States must decide on priorities, giving attention to
Europe and the Middle East in preference, say, to Rwanda. Although
his response didn't elaborate on a complete system of priorities,
such an approach avoids the conceptual confusion.
3.
No doubt reflecting the insolubility just discussed, most
interventions have been conducted without an "end-game"
looking ahead to a desirable outcome. In fact, they have
sometimes made matters worse.
In May 2000, William B. Jones, the U.S. ambassador to Haiti from
1977 to 1980, wrote that "once again, Haiti has made the
complete circle from chaos and violence to chaos and violence.
Although well-meaning and idealistic, U.S. policies have failed
to bring democracy, stability and economic growth to Haiti."[18] A Cox News Service report in April 1999 said
that "a triumph in foreign policy [had been] declared [after
the 1994 U.S. military intervention]. But today, after
nearly five years of pouring more than $2.2 billion of U.S.
taxpayers' money into Haiti, there is little to feel triumphant
about."19 As we compare
the futility of the early-twentieth century interventions with
that of the ones that came later, we recall that the American
military presence in Haiti from 1915 to 1934 was followed not by
well-tutored civilization but by many years of dictatorship.
The same thing happened in Cuba, the Dominican Republic,
Nicaragua and (at least to the extent of a one-party state) in
Mexico.
A clear case of "no end-game" occurred in Somalia,
where a bloodied United States withdrew, "to be
replaced," according to Clarke and Herbst, "by far less
well trained and well armed soldiers from a multitude of
countries."20 Although they
say there were "perhaps 100,000 people saved from
starvation,"21 it is hard to tell
whether this is a net figure after all is said and done; Anna
Simons says intervention itself had worsened matters early,
because outside aid "helped bring on dissolution in the
first place." She points out how "the
humanitarian assistance organizations paid pirates' ransoms to
hired guns, bribed well-fed people in order to be able to deliver
food to the starving, and otherwise created new inequities based
on who [sic] they employed, elevated, and had to secure
protection from."22
As to Bosnia, David Pryce-Jones says that it "is now a
protectorate. A Bosnian government goes through the motions
of administration, but U.N. personnel alone guarantee law and
order. The world community, in other words, has introduced
an updated version of the typical 19th-century colonial
regime."23 Fareed
Zakaria, the managing editor of Foreign Affairs, predicts
that "the moment the occupation ends, the problems that led
to the intervention will resume. Absent an occupying force,
Bosnia would split into three separate, ethnically uniform
states."24 This is
seconded by David Callahan in Unwinnable Wars: "While
many factors will influence the future of Bosnia following the
withdrawal of the international peacekeeping force, the country
will probably divide permanently along ethnic lines. New
fighting is likely. According to a draft analysis of a
National Intelligence Estimate circulated within the U.S.
government in spring 1996, the chances are poor that Bosnia will
be transformed into a democratic multiethnic state as envisioned
by the Dayton agreement."25 The decision in
December 1997 that the Stabilization Force (S-For) would stay in
Bosnia indefinitely should be understood as an implicit
recognition of this by planners who have no end-game pointing
toward achievable goals.
When I mention a lack of such goals, I don't mean to suggest that
some existed that could have been followed but that were somehow
overlooked. It is more likely that no such goals were
possible. This is itself a telling point against
intervening in the first place.
There was certainly no coherent goal for Kosovo. The Clinton administration said it wanted a multiethnic Kosovo that would be autonomous within Yugoslavia. The actions taken, however, weren't consistent with that, since the destruction of Serbia's infrastructure and the driving out of the Serbian army set the stage for the "ethnic cleansing" in which ethnic Albanians have driven the Serb population out of Kosovo that has followed the NATO occupation. Don Feder reports that "triumphant Albanians ethnically cleansed 230,000 Serbs and gypsies from Kosovo."26
Not only has there been no coherent objective, with means adapted
to it, but in Kosovo the United States actually made the
situation worse. Zakaria points out that "if the
purpose of our intervention was to avert a humanitarian crisis in
Kosovo, in fact we exacerbated it. In the year before the
bombing, 2,500 people (mostly KLA partisans and Serb soldiers)
died in Kosovo; in the eleven weeks after the bombing began,
10,000 people (most of them Albanian civilians) were
killed." The figures are just as telling about the
numbers of people displaced before and after the intervention.27 [We have already seen that the post-war
failure to find bodies casts doubt on the 10,000 figure. To
the extent it does, it lessens my point about the worsening of
the situation, at least so far as the loss of life is concerned.]
The lack of an end-game becomes especially apparent when it is
hard to disengage. The intervention becomes a "tar
baby" that, once hit, won't let go. The United States
was in Haiti for many years, just as it was in Nicaragua; and the
current peacekeeping in Bosnia and Kosovo offer to continue
without foreseeable limit.
4.
Related to this is the fact that most interventions have suffered
from conceptual confusion about means and ends.
Sometimes people's thinking about interventions is so confused as
to be humorous. Consider the ambivalence in a recent Wichita
Eagle editorial about President Clinton's apology in 2000 for
the United States' not having stopped the slaughter in Rwanda six
years earlier. The editorial first argued that "the
United States can't be the world's cop, and we can't end
centuries of ethnic hatred just by showing up." But it
didn't stop there; it went on to say that "we have a noble
history of coming to the rescue of the little guy who is under
serious attack..." and spoke deprecatingly of the fact that
"for fear of losing one American life, we let millions of
Rwandans suffer and die."28 The paper's
editorial board didn't seem to realize that in a world where
there are 30 wars and 20 "complex humanitarian crises"
every year an impulse to "help the little guy," except
very selectively, is diametrically at odds with the idea of not
being the world's policeman. In her book about Somalia,
Anna Simons refers to "a far larger question: Why? Why
Somalia? and not Angola, Liberia, the Sudan, or any one of
a number of other places? People were in dire straits all
over the world."29 It was perhaps
because of this incongruity that Osama bin Laden concluded that
the United States was not really in Somalia for benign reasons,
but was rather attempting to gain power over "ever-larger
chunks" of the Islamic world.30
There are people outside the United States who will seek a
coherent explanation for what is simply incoherence.
Intervention is, in fact, mired in a series of conceptual muddles
in addition to those discussed in Chapter 3:
There has been an impression that "humanitarian
interventions" are both distinct from and much safer than
"political interventions." That may well be so where
there is no local conflict; but where there is, to help those in
distress is necessarily to intervene on the side of those who
have been losing (not unlike if Europeans had gone to the rescue
of southerners while Sherman was burning Atlanta).
Some recent commentary sees this clearly. Clarke and Herbst write that "when U.S. troops intervened [in Somalia] in December 1992 to stop the theft of food, they immediately disrupted the entire political economy of Somalia. Therefore, the United States immediately stepped deeply into the muck of Somali politics." Speaking directly to the idea of the two types of intervention, they observe that "although analytically attractive, the distinction between the different types of intervention, at the heart of so much of the current debate, is not particularly helpful. Indeed, at a practical level, it is hard to see how anyone could believe that landing 30,000 troops in a country was anything but a gross interference in major aspects of a country's politics." The authors point out that because of the muddled dichotomy the administration of the first President Bush "simply ducked the problems that logically followed from the decision to intervene...."31
Anna Simons says the same: "There is no such thing as purely
humanitarian assistance. From the moment the United States
intervened..., U.S. citizens were involved in local Somali
politics." She adds: "There is no way the United
States could alleviate Somalia's famine without intervening in
Somali politics." She calls the notion that the two
are separate a "disconnect."32
(She was speaking in the context of Somalia. There may well
be situations in which humanitarian aid does not involve taking
sides.)
There is also a disconnect between the U.S. desire to intervene
in crises and its unwillingness to suffer casualties. In Somalia
when the warlord Aideed adopted a tactic of "killing
Americans," the American public came alive to the dangers
and President Clinton immediately announced plans for U.S.
withdrawal.33 This has become
virtually a given in American politics, since the media make
front-page news out of every soldier or airman lost and this is
followed by the television media interviewing the families for
their emotional reactions to having a son, brother, husband or
father killed.
One result is that American interventions have tended toward a
type that is "bloodless" (at least to Americans).
The Gulf War was fought through air power and high technology,
with virtually no casualties; and Serbia was forced out of Kosovo
by massive bombing, with no American dead. Although most
Americans won't recognize it as such, this as a continuation of a
death-at-a-distance strategy that goes back as far as the bombing
of Tokyo, Hiroshima, Nagasaki and Dresden during World War II.
The United States is willing to inflict massive destruction on
its adversaries to avoid casualties of its own. Since no
one wants casualties, most Americans welcome this approach to
war. What they don't understand is that it introduces a
vast disproportion between ends and means. This both
violates the premise of moral rightness that spurs the
interventions in the first place and places the United States in
a position where those "on the short end" of the
imbalance are invited to find ways to seek revenge. "Asymmetrical
warfare," or "terrorism," involving clandestine
hit-and-run techniques, is an obvious means that the weak can use
for this purpose. And since the American
destruction-from-the-air strategy can't be terribly
discriminating, it sets the example for terrorists if they decide
not to limit themselves to military targets. It must be
remembered not as an incidental, but as a major fact
that terrorism can now involve weapons capable of mass
killing. It was necessary to say this before September 11.
Now, it seems almost too obvious.
Another confusion, which I have already mentioned, comes from the
inability to decide between two ideological absolutes: the
devotion to "multiethnicity" and the affirmation of
distinct ethnic identities. For reasons of contemporary
"politically correct" ideology, the elites in Europe
and America have embraced "multiculturalism," even
though multiculturalist policy promises in fairly rapid
historical terms to lead to the alteration of their own
civilizations virtually beyond recognition. Those elites
have a powerful predilection to insist that their own preferences
are the only morally sound ones, and must be carried out
everywhere. This results in their wanting "ethnic
pluralism" in places like Kosovo. At the same time,
their interventions go smash against the hard realities of what
distinct peoples prefer (and often passionately seek) in fact.
The result, despite the intervention, tends toward ethnic
division, which is the opposite of what is sought.
I have already mentioned, too, the double standards a
symptom either of intellectual confusion or of a cynical
willingness to exercise power arbitrarily that are
unavoidable when prosecuting "war crimes" in a world
where "man's inhumanity to man" is as ubiquitous as it
is. When there are apparently inexcusable brutalities
committed by all sides in an endless string of wars, just what
justifies bringing a select few perpetrators before a court
either for prison sentences or execution? There is poetic
justice in the fact that in September 2000 Serbia, itself thought
to be the festering source of evil, was trying certain American
and Western leaders in absentia for war crimes. It is a
game that all factions can play.
5.
The confusion and lack of attainable goals go hand-in-hand with
Americans' often-commented-upon shallow understanding of other
systems and cultures.
Commentators have often spoken of Americans' poverty of
understanding about foreign peoples and situations.
In a lengthy article recently about the jaundiced view many Europeans take of America's role, the New York Times' Suzanne Daley writes that "the French, and other Europeans, often mention Americans' lack of knowledge about anything European and their unwillingness to learn..." She refers to a recent book on the subject: "Omnipotence and ignorance,' Mr. Mamere concludes about America in his first chapter. It is a questionable cocktail.'"34
Samuel Huntington says that "American idealism, moralism, humanitarian instincts, naivete, and ignorance concerning the Balkans thus led them to be pro-Bosnian and anti-Serb" [emphasis added].35 Robert H. Jackson writes that it was far more convenient to those seeking intervention to see the Yugoslav situation as a struggle among warlords than as a popularly-based struggle for ethnic self-determination.36 The "warlord" interpretation would see the populations as innocent victims, and the solution the relatively easy one of deposing the (unrepresentative) leaders; the alternative explanation would acknowledge a much more complex picture rooted in the culture, religion, institutions and ideology of the people themselves. This more complex understanding would not lend itself so readily to a Good vs. Bad dichotomizing. Columnist Don Feder grasps this complexity when he says "there are no Boy Scouts in the Balkans. What the Serbs did in Kosovo was done to them by Croats, Bosnian Muslims and yes Kosovo Albanians."37
We have already seen how Mireille Durocher Bertin, who had been the legal adviser to the junta who ousted Aristide in Haiti and who was gunned down in Port-au-Prince in March 1995, had criticized the United States' worldwide policy as being based on ignorance "of the realities of the countries involved."38
Walter Clarke writes that "inability or unwillingness to discern the essential political dynamics of the country and to effect remedial measures to foster civil society out of expedience, disinterest, or naive neutrality' lies at the root of the world's failure in Somalia."39 Thomas G. Weiss observes that "policymakers, pundits, and the public are not required to have long historical perspectives." Referring to other recent interventions, he finds that even short-term memory is missing: "Their recollections of humanitarian intervention appear particularly shortsighted and confused. Three brief years separated the vigorous military intervention overriding sovereignty and supporting humane values in northern Iraq in April 1991 from the passive response to the Rwandan bloodbath in April 1994."40
6.
The meliorist outlook doesn't seem to understand just how
presumptuous it is to judge other people's interests, claims and
national myths from outside, substituting a shallow omniscience
for the deeply held convictions of the people directly involved.
We can value Western civilization highly, as I do, while at the
same time appreciating how enormously presumptuous it is to try
to force that culture onto peoples whose ways of life have very
different foundations. Although writing before September
11, Samuel Huntington was able to see that "in the emerging
world of ethnic conflict and civilizational clash, Western belief
in the universality of Western culture suffers three problems: it
is false; it is immoral; and it is dangerous." Much of
his book on the clash of civilizations is devoted to showing how
it is false. He says that the presumption is immoral
"because of what would be necessary to bring it about... It
will happen only as a result of the expansion, deployment, and
impact of Western power. Imperialism is the necessary
logical consequence of universalism." It is dangerous,
he says, because of the hatreds and conflict it will engender.
It is "most important to recognize that Western intervention
in the affairs of other civilizations is probably the single most
dangerous source of instability and potential global conflict in
a multicivilizational world."41
It isn't surprising, then, when Suzanne Daley reports that
"more and more often, Europeans talk about America as a
menacing, even dangerous force intent on remaking the world in
its image."42 Americans
should compare this with their own collective sense of innocence
after September 11. They do in fact feel themselves
innocent; but, as I said in Chapter 1, it has to be deemed a
"culpable innocence."
The willingness to "substitute judgment" for other
peoples is one mark of how far American society has moved from
its classical liberal roots. There is a strong propensity
in a philosophy of individual liberty to embrace a certain
humility toward other people, shrinking from any self-appointed
task of overseeing their lives. When the Austrian economist
Ludwig von Mises was asked "what would you do if suddenly
you were to become a king with absolute power?," his answer
was fully in the classical liberal tradition: "I would
resign." It was no accident that the historic American
position of non-intervention
that was held to until 1898 coincided with the period of
classical liberal ascendancy in the United States. (And
yet, let's not oversimplify even this: even classical liberals
have not been united in this sensibility; in the nineteenth
century James Mill was a major influence in favor of an
authoritarian meliorism as the guiding philosophy for British
colonial rule in India.43)
7.
Huntington's warning about the dangers from interventionism has
come true as the United States has created deep animosity among
those who are outraged by what they see as American interference
into their own affairs.
It is odd that after fighting desperately against the
expansionist drives of two totalitarian ideologies in the
twentieth century, Americans aren't sensitive to the possibility
that they are themselves coming to be perceived as "the
bully on the block" by peoples in many other cultures.
To the extent that other peoples value their cultural identity and national sovereignty and we know they do , they will resent anyone who seeks to substitute a transcendent vision for their own. Christopher Layne writes that "this unilateral dominance what political scientists call hegemony is self-defeating... When one state becomes too powerful, other states become fearful and unite to balance' against it." He quotes the French Foreign Minister, Hubert Vedrine, as saying in November 1999 that the United States is a "hyper-power" and that "we cannot accept either a politically unipolar world, nor a culturally uniform world, nor the unilateralism of a single hyper-power."44
The common sense of this was recognized many years ago by
Daniel Webster when he said that "no matter how easy may be
the yoke of a foreign power..., if it is not imposed upon him by
the voice of his own nation and of his own country, he cannot and
he means not to be happy under its burden."[45]
The resentment shows up in many places:
The atrocities of September 11 brought home to Americans as never
before the hatreds that have welled up within radical Islamism.
Safar al-Hawali, one of the religious scholars relied upon by
Osama bin Ladin, said in a 1991 sermon that "what is
happening in the Gulf is part of a larger Western design to
dominate the whole Arab and Muslim world."46
This generalization is related to a wide range of specific
grievances.
It is a mistake to think that the hatred is limited to what Americans are being given to believe are "forces of evil" represented by a few "fanatics." In writing about the United States' "protectorate era" in the Caribbean between 1900 and 1921, Lester Langley writes that "in not a few instances the legacy of American rule was unmitigated hatred of the United States. A vitriolic anti-Americanism flourished in Caribbean literature." The reason was that although "the Americans came to democratize and uplift," this necessarily "expressed their contempt for Caribbean politics, economic systems, and culture."47
President Jimmy Carter's meliorist policies brought contempt, not gratitude, in the 1970s. Walter A. McDougall tells how "when the Sandinistas took over Nicaragua in July 1979, Carter asked Congress to give them $75 million in aid. Daniel Ortega showed his gratitude by allying with Cuba and the USSR, imposing one-party rule, and stoking another insurgency in El Salvador. Nor did Carter's removal of support for the shah of Iran win credit with the Ayatollah Khomeini, whose followers promptly took the American embassy hostage." The most graphic demonstration came in June 1993 when Carter was invited to serve as honorary chairperson of the Vienna conference on human rights: "When Carter was introduced, hundreds of Third World delegates mocked and heckled him until he abandoned the podium. To them he represented the worst sort of paternalistic American meddling."48
John Drysdale says that the Somalis who inflicted heavy
casualties on American Rangers on October 3, 1993, saw it as
"an unprecedented triumph over a perceived tyranny."49 (And we have seen that Peter Bergen reports
that Osama bin Laden felt the same way.)
Weiss says that many developing countries think of interventions as "major-power bullying" and violations of their sovereignty.50 Anna Simons reports that many Somalis were suspicious of the motives behind the intervention: "People were in dire straits all over the world. Obviously Somalia had to have something the United States and the rest of the world wanted. Otherwise, why did the world suddenly profess so much interest in a country it had abandoned a mere three years before? The rhetoric of humanitarianism had to be a smokescreen... Did policymakers understand that this is what many Somalis had to be thinking? It seems not."51
Dana Munro says that during the long early-twentieth century American occupation of Haiti, "there had always been resentment of the presence of foreign troops and the authority exercised by foreign officials." He tells how each class in Haitian life had its own reasons for this resentment.52 It is not surprising, then, that in the 1990s both sides in Haiti found reason to hate the United States. Those who opposed the American intervention on behalf of Aristide formed a National Anti-Occupation Coalition in 1994, and blamed the assassination of Aristide opponents on President Clinton: "He is to blame for all the Haitians killed, assassinated since September 19."53 On the other hand, we have seen how Rene Preval's government, elected from Aristide's party to succeed him, immediately established diplomatic relations with Castro's Communist government in Cuba after Preval was installed.54 Then in July 2000, Insight magazine reported that "in mid-June, supporters of former president Jean-Bertrand Aristide trampled and spat on an American flag in front of the U.S. Embassy in Port-au-Prince."55
Since the break-up of the Soviet Union, it has been important for friendship to replace enmity between Russia and the United States. But a poll taken in Russia by the Public Opinion Foundation in May 2000 found that 56 percent of Russians see the U.S. [NATO] bombing of Yugoslavia as aggression. Russian author Victor Litovkin says the reason is "disturbing. NATO's air raids over Yugoslavia made it clear that NATO relies heavily on the use of force, and that to secure its narrow and egoistic interests, the alliance is ready to ignore international law, the U.N. Security Council and even its own charter."56 A similar unfriendly perception exists in Europe. Suzanne Daley says that "far from seeing America's involvement in Kosovo as a hand of support from across the Atlantic, many Europeans saw it as an American manipulation of NATO."57
Huntington says that the United States' bombing of Baghdad during
the Gulf War was condemned "by almost all Muslim
governments." "Seventy-five percent of India's
100 million Muslims blamed the United States for the war, and
Indonesia's 171 million Muslims were almost universally'
against U.S. military action in the Gulf... In their view, the
invasion [by Iraq of Kuwait] was a family affair to be settled
within the family." Even Jordan's King Hussein said
the U.S. effort was "a war against all Arabs and all Muslims
and not against Iraq alone."58
Conclusion
The American overseas interventions at the beginning and end of
the twentieth century demonstrate the reasons for humility and
caution. It serves neither the United States nor the world
at large for the United States and those led by it to presume to
be the world's policeman and social worker.
In the final chapter of this monograph, I will discuss the vitally important role the United States and the other technologically advanced countries must come to have in the world of the near-future. But that role, vis a vis other peoples, will not be "making their business our business." The most meaningful assistance can be given to the other peoples without infringing upon their cultures and their sovereignty.
ENDNOTES
[1].
The Nation, Vol. 66, 1898, p. 199.
[2].
National Geographic, February 1998, pp. 92-111.
[3].
David Callahan, Unwinnable Wars: American Power and Ethnic
Conflict (New York: Twentieth Century Fund Books, 1997), pp.
45, 91.
[4].
Clarke in Walter Clarke and Jeffrey Herbst, ed.s, Learning
from Somalia: The Lessons of Armed Humanitarian Intervention (Boulder,
CO: WestviewPress, 1997), p. 8.
[5].
Lester H. Brune, The United States and Post-Cold War
Interventions (Claremont, CA: Regina Books, 1998), pp. 19,
20.
[6].
Report of the Commission on America's National Interests, p. 3.
[7].
Brune, Post-Cold War Interventions, p. 92.
[8].
Noel Malcolm, Kosovo: A Short History (New York:
HarperPerennial, 1999), twelfth page of the unpaginated Preface.
[9].
Article by Jon E. Dougherty dated October 20, 1999, in WorldNetDaily.com,
December 1, 1999.
[10]. Wichita Eagle, December 31, 2000.
[11]. Michael Ignatieff, The Warrior's Honor:
Ethnic War and the Modern Conscience (Toronto: Viking, 1998),
pp. 85, 87.
[12]. Time magazine, February 12, 2001.
The call for zeal and cash is on page 53.
[13]. Catherine Besteman, Unraveling Somalia:
Race, Violence, and the Legacy of Slavery (Philadelphia:
University of Pennsylvania Press, 1999), pp. 32, 33.
[14]. Anna Simons, Networks of Dissolution:
Somalia Undone (Boulder, CO: WestviewPress, 1995), p. 11.
[15]. Anna Simons, Networks of Dissolution:
Somalia Undone (Boulder, CO: Westview Press, 1995), p. 15.
[16]. Robert I. Rotberg in Clarke and Herbst,
ed.s., Learning from Somalia, p. 233.
[17]. Brune, Post-Cold War Interventions,
p. 93.
[18]. Op-ed column in The Wichita Eagle,
May 12, 2000.
[19]. Washington Times National Weekly Edition,
March 29-April 4, 1999, p. 26.
[20]. Clarke and Herbst in Learning from
Somalia, p. 243.
[21]. Clarke and Herbst in Learning from
Somalia, p. 241.
[22]. Simons, Networks of Dissolution, p.
205.
[23]. David Pryce-Jones, "Kosovo, from
Scratch," in National Review, July 12, 1999, p. 21.
[24]. Writing in National Review,
September 27, 1999, p. 24.
[25]. Callahan, Unwinnable Wars, pp. 216,
217.
[26]. Don Feder column, Middle American News,
July 2000, p. 17.
[27]. Zakaria in National Review,
September 27, 1999, p. 22.
[28]. The Wichita Eagle, July 25, 2000,
editorial page.
[29]. Anna Simons, Networks of Dissolution,
p. 207.
[30]. Peter L. Bergen, Holy War, Inc.: Inside
the Secret World of Osama bin Laden (New York: The Free
Press, 2001), p. 82.
[31]. Clarke and Herbst in Learning from
Somalia, p. 242.
[32]. Simons, Networks of Dissolution, p.
207.
[33]. Brune, Post-Cold War Interventions,
p. 33.
[34]. New York Ti